UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Western Connecticut 3
  
Western Connecticut   
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 89.2139

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Cortland SUNYAC ( 9- 3, 92.0) 3-15 228 A Farmingdale State Skyline ( 4- 8, 81.1) 18- 5 304 A Tufts NESCAC (10- 2, 99.8) 2-19 307 H Hartford Conference of ( 7- 5, 84.5) 13- 9 310 H Westfield State MASCAC ( 5- 6, 87.3) 20- 7 321 H Massachusetts-Dartmout Little East ( 3- 9, 77.9) 20- 6 325 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 4, 96.9) 4-11 328 H Castleton Little East ( 3- 7, 74.5) 26- 4 404 A Plymouth State Little East ( 3- 7, 84.3) 19- 2 408 A Worcester State MASCAC ( 6- 6, 83.2) 19- 7 411 H Southern Maine Little East ( 9- 3, 87.1) 415 A Rhode Island College Little East ( 1- 8, 70.5) 418 A Massachusetts-Boston Little East ( 4- 8, 77.1) 422 A Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 4- 4, 82.7) 425 H Keene State Little East ( 6- 6, 82.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Cortland                3-15     -12    -3          -1.93
   228 A Farmingdale State      18- 5      13     8           0.00
   304 A Tufts                   2-19     -17   -11           0.00
   307 H Hartford               13- 9       4     5          -1.00
   310 H Westfield State        20- 7      13     2    +      2.74
   321 H Massachusetts-Dartmout 20- 6      14    12           0.00
   325 H Trinity                 4-11      -7    -7           0.00
   328 H Castleton              26- 4      22    15           0.00
   404 A Plymouth State         19- 2      17     5           0.41
   408 A Worcester State        19- 7      12     6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Westfield State        20- 7      13     2    +      2.74

Western Connecticut Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Albertus Magnus Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Albion Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Albright Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Alfred Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Alfred State Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Allegheny Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Alma Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Alvernia Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Amherst Amherst insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Amherst
Anderson (IN) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Anna Maria Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Arcadia Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Augsburg Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Augustana (IL) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Aurora Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Averett Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bard Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bates Bates tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Bates
Beloit Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Berry Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bethany Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bowdoin Bowdoin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bowdoin
Brevard Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bridgewater Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Bridgewater State Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Brockport Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Buffalo State Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Cal Lutheran Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Calvin Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Canton Western Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Capital Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Carroll Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Carthage Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Castleton Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Centenary (NJ) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Centre Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Chicago Chicago tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Colby
Colby-Sawyer Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
Colorado College Colorado College tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Connecticut College Connecticut College tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Connecticut College
Cornell College Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Cortland Cortland Cortland  
Curry Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dean Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Delaware Valley Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Denison Denison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Denison
DePauw Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
DeSales Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Eastern Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Eastern Connecticut Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Western Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Edgewood Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Elizabethtown Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Elmhurst Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Elmira Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Elms Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Emerson Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Emmanuel (MA) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Endicott Endicott tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Endicott
Farmingdale State Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
FDU-Florham Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Ferrum Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Fitchburg State Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Western Connecticut
Framingham State Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Franciscan Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Franklin Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
George Fox Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Gettysburg Gettysburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gettysburg
Gordon Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Goucher Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Greensboro Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Grove City Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Guilford Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Gwynedd Mercy Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hamilton Hamilton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hamilton
Hamline Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hanover Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hartford Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
Hartwick Western Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hilbert Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hood Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Hope Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Huntingdon Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Husson Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Illinois Tech Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Illinois Wesleyan Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Immaculata Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Ithaca Ithaca insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ithaca
John Carroll Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Johnson & Wales Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Kalamazoo Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Kean Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Keene State Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Western Connecticut
Kenyon Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Keuka Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Kings Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
La Roche Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lake Forest Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lasell Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lawrence Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lebanon Valley Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lewis & Clark Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Linfield Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lycoming Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Lynchburg Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Maine Maritime Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Maine-Farmington Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Manhattanville Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Marian (WI) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Marietta Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Maritime Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Marywood Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Massachusetts Maritime Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Massachusetts-Boston Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
McDaniel Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Merchant Marine Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
Meredith Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Middlebury Middlebury Middlebury   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Misericordia Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
MIT MIT tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) MIT
Mitchell Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Montclair State Montclair State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Montclair State
Moravian Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Morrisville Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Mount Aloysius Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Mount Holyoke Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Mount St Joseph Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Mount St Mary (NY) Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Mount St Vincent Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Mount Union Western Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
MSOE Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Nazareth Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Neumann Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
New England College Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
New Paltz Western Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Nichols Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
North Carolina Wesleyan Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
North Central (IL) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Norwich Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Notre Dame (MD) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Oberlin Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Occidental Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Oglethorpe Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Ohio Northern Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Ohio Wesleyan Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Old Westbury Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Oneonta Western Connecticut tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Oswego Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Otterbein Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Pacific Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Pacific Lutheran Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Pfeiffer Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Piedmont Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Plattsburgh Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Western Connecticut
Plymouth State Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Western Connecticut
Puget Sound Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Purchase Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Ramapo Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Randolph Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Rhode Island College Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Salem State Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Western Connecticut
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Western Connecticut tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Western Connecticut
Southern Maine Western Connecticut tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Western Connecticut
Southern Virginia Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Southwestern Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Spalding Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Springfield Springfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Springfield
St Benedict Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
St John Fisher St John Fisher insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
St Josephs (LI) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
St Josephs College (ME) Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
St Marys (MD) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
St Vincent Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stevenson
Stockton Western Connecticut tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Connecticut
Suffolk Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
SUNY Poly Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Susquehanna Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
TCNJ TCNJ tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) TCNJ
Thiel Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Thomas Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Transylvania Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Trine Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Trinity Trinity Trinity  
Trinity Washington Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Tufts Tufts Tufts  
U New England Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Union Union tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union
Ursinus Ursinus tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursinus
Utica Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Vassar Western Connecticut tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Western Connecticut
Vermont State-Lyndon Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Virginia Wesleyan Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Warren Wilson Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Washington & Jefferson Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Western Connecticut
Wentworth Tech Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Connecticut
Wesleyan Wesleyan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wesleyan
Western New England Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Western Connecticut
Westfield State Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
Westminster (PA) Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wheaton (MA) Western Connecticut tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Western Connecticut
Whitman Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Whittier Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Whitworth Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Widener Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wilkes Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Willamette Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
William Peace Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
William Smith William Smith insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) William Smith
Williams Williams tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Williams
Wilson Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wisconsin-La Crosse Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   Wisconsin-River Falls
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wisconsin-Stout Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wittenberg Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worcester State Western Connecticut Western Connecticut  
York York insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) York

PowerWise = 216


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cortland        ( 9- 3, 92.0)     3-15       -7.93      31.27       0.31         1.05            -8.00
   0 A Farmingdale St  ( 4- 8, 81.1)    18- 5      -18.82      20.38       0.31         1.05            21.74
   0 A Tufts           (10- 2, 99.8)     2-19       -0.05      39.14       0.31         1.05            -0.27
   0 H Hartford        ( 7- 5, 84.5)    13- 9      -15.45      23.75      -0.31         1.05            24.62
   0 H Westfield Stat  ( 5- 6, 87.3)    20- 7      -12.63      26.56      -0.31         1.05            27.58
   0 H Massachusetts-  ( 3- 9, 77.9)    20- 6      -22.00      17.19      -0.31         1.05            17.74
   0 H Trinity         ( 8- 4, 96.9)     4-11       -2.98      36.22      -0.31         1.05            -3.45
   0 H Castleton       ( 3- 7, 74.5)    26- 4      -25.37      13.83      -0.31         1.05            14.20
   0 A Plymouth State  ( 3- 7, 84.3)    19- 2      -15.59      23.60       0.31         1.05            25.13
   0 A Worcester Stat  ( 6- 6, 83.2)    19- 7      -16.67      22.53       0.31         1.05            24.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       143.28

winning pts = 155.0128 losing points = -11.7322

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------